Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 3.095121 3.461033 3.857125 4.318425 4.841763 5.418011 6.101910
2024-10-20 2.530685 3.010602 3.566811 4.261628 5.109894 6.116274 7.407272
2024-10-27 2.082339 2.591771 3.212547 4.029531 5.083594 6.407324 8.210704
2024-11-03 1.857202 2.399664 3.088836 4.036435 5.317646 7.006960 9.431521
2024-11-10 1.718638 2.293946 3.051906 4.135004 5.661517 7.763909 10.926825
2024-11-17 1.582605 2.172775 2.975331 4.161572 5.895974 8.379228 12.276686
2024-11-24 1.468308 2.067593 2.906157 4.184233 6.116662 8.984063 13.664757
2024-12-01 1.369293 1.973238 2.840682 4.200625 6.321687 9.575488 15.086487
2024-12-08 1.253891 1.844053 2.711465 4.105841 6.341694 9.875559 16.063785
2024-12-15 1.171787 1.757201 2.636890 4.085597 6.471840 10.354888 17.380832
2024-12-22 1.094240 1.670759 2.555054 4.044528 6.560457 10.768388 18.622060
2024-12-29 1.069945 1.665119 2.598126 4.207832 7.001126 11.812950 21.100706
2025-01-05 1.008425 1.596993 2.538250 4.198500 7.152272 12.382276 22.800044
2025-01-12 0.946342 1.523487 2.464023 4.158129 7.244555 12.854968 24.374300
2025-01-19 0.856668 1.397863 2.293601 3.935212 6.985534 12.653178 24.589491
2025-01-26 0.815728 1.351687 2.254609 3.942568 7.150945 13.265160 26.527808
2025-02-02 0.792864 1.334758 2.264510 4.038731 7.491551 14.248071 29.366049
2025-02-09 0.760564 1.298957 2.238218 4.064643 7.696972 14.980668 31.755199
2025-02-16 0.730135 1.264355 2.211392 4.086725 7.895559 15.717228 34.246959
2025-02-23 0.701061 1.230228 2.182875 4.102695 8.082099 16.445535 36.813998
2025-03-02 0.659484 1.170536 2.102849 4.010357 8.034607 16.664409 38.195637
2025-03-09 0.630463 1.132385 2.060792 3.990636 8.138091 17.222910 40.476853
2025-03-16 0.600916 1.091470 2.010779 3.950624 8.193637 17.678050 42.558216